Episode 21 - Probability, Belief, and The Truth
This episode was recorded during my vacation in Tybee Beach Georgia, and it worked out great! I explore the nature of probability, and my approach to thinking about facts and belief. I talk about problem solving a lot; here I go into the fundamentals and work to justify how I think about it.
What problem does probability solve? Should we always think in terms of probability? What's the difference between an artificial language (code, math) and natural language? How many water molecules are in the Atlantic Ocean? Sometimes we have vague questions and make vague statements - should that be ok?
This episode is a little different, but I hope this is the beginning of a back-and-forth conversation with the Local Maximum listenership to try to get to the bottom of these deep issues.
This episode reaches all the way back to Episode 0 when I first went over Bayesian thinking and my justifications for it.
My interview with Mariya Yao on Foursquare Attribution